Logo of German-Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry

Indonesia's Economy Beats Forecasts, Expands 5.29% in Second Quarter

  • News

Indonesia's economy beat expectations with 5.29 percent growth in the second quarter of 2026, driven by resilient consumer spending and investment despite tighter monetary policy and global economic headwinds.

News Indonesia's Economy Beats Forecasts, Expands 5.29% in Second Quarter

The Indonesian economy grew 5.29 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026, outpacing the 5.10 percent growth economists had forecast in a Reuters poll. Gross domestic product rose 3.73 percent on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and growth for the first half of the year reached 5.45 percent compared with the same period in 2025, according to data released by Statistics Indonesia (BPS). The economy was valued at IDR 6,552.1 trillion, or roughly USD 365.67 billion, at current prices for the April-June period. 

 

Household consumption was the primary driver of growth, contributing 2.67 percentage points to the overall expansion and accounting for more than half of GDP, with the component rising 5.06 percent year-on-year. 

 

Private "consumption kept growing," BPS Deputy for National Accounts and Statistical Analysis Edy Mahmud said, as quoted by The Jakarta Post. Fixed investment expanded 6.87 percent, aided by a 26.03 percent jump in vehicle sales. Government consumption, meanwhile, surged 15.97 percent.  

 

By sector, electricity and gas supply grew fastest at 10.81 percent, followed by accommodation and food services at 10.60 percent, supported by higher hotel occupancy and the government's Free Nutritious Meals program.  

 

Ahead of the official release, Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto had told reporters growth would stay "still above five percent," according to Antara

 

Even so, the second-quarter figure marks a slowdown from the 5.61 percent growth recorded in the first quarter, the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2022. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa had said Monday he was hoping for growth of around 5.4 percent; the government is now projecting a full-year range of 5.6 to 6 percent, according to The Jakarta Post

 

The moderation followed a volatile first half for markets. Indonesia's current account deficit widened to USD 4 billion in the first quarter, equivalent to 1.1 percent of GDP, while Bank Indonesia raised its benchmark interest rate by a cumulative 100 basis points, to 5.75 percent, between April and June to defend the rupiah. 

 

Indonesia's major trading partners largely continued to expand during the quarter, with Vietnam and Malaysia strengthening and Singapore and South Korea growing faster than a year earlier, even as the United States and China posted slower growth, said Edy, as quoted by to the Jakarta Globe

Read the latest news

See all News
  • News Indonesia Prepares New Electric Vehicle Incentives as Government Reviews Automotive Policy
    News

    Indonesia Prepares New Electric Vehicle Incentives as Government Reviews Automotive Policy

    Indonesia is preparing a new package of electric vehicle incentives as the government reviews measures to support EV adoption, domestic production and the development of the national automotive industry.

  • News German Energy Business Roundtable Highlights Opportunities and Challenges in Indonesia's Energy Sector
    News

    German Energy Business Roundtable Highlights Opportunities and Challenges in Indonesia's Energy Sector

    On 6 August 2026, AHK Indonesia/EKONID brought together leading German energy companies and institutions in Jakarta to exchange perspectives on Indonesia’s evolving energy landscape, key business challenges, and emerging opportunities. The roundtable highlighted the importance of closer policy dialogue, regulatory consistency, and German-Indonesian cooperation in advancing a resilient and sustainable energy transition.

  • 20260218_EKONID Online Legal Roundtable_Website (2).png
    News

    EKONID Hosts EIBN Coordination Meeting 2026

    On 15 July 2026, EKONID hosted the 2026 EIBN Coordination Meeting, bringing together European business chambers in Indonesia to exchange updates, align priorities, and strengthen collaboration in supporting the European business community.

Searching for something else?

In our information centre, you can find the latest news, downloads, videos, podcasts...

Go to Info Hub